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Wednesday April 9: |
Plenary Session |
7:30 – 8:30 |
Workshop Registration |
8:30 – 8:40 |
Introduction/Logistics |
8:40 – 9:15 |
The Future of the West: Adapting to a Warmer World: – Abstract – Presentation Opening Keynote Speaker addresses peer-reviewed, state-of-the-science knowledge and issues of genuine debate versus manufactured conspiracy.
Dr. Lisa Graumlich, Director, School of Natural Resources, University of Arizona |
9:15 – 9:45 |
Overview – Climate Change and Western Deserts: – Abstract – Presentation Climate change and variability affects on arid deserts, including discussion on precipitation and hydrologic variations, milder winter and extreme temperatures, and species responses (including changing fire regimes and invasive species issues).
Dr. Kelly Redmond – Deputy Director and Regional Climatologist, Desert Research Institute, Reno |
9:45 – 10:15 |
Climate Change and Wildlife Refuges: Managing for resilience in the face
of uncertainity – Abstract – Presentation
Dr. Brad Griffith – Asst. Wildlife Leader, USGS/Alaska Cooperative Fish
and Wildlife Research Unit, Fairbanks, Alaska |
10:15 – 10:45 |
Break |
10:45 – 11:45 |
Panel Presentation – Climate Change and Western Deserts: Panel presentation of desert specific concerns and issues about climate change and variability and species responses (20 minutes per speaker).
Mohave-Colorado Desert – Wind Erosion and Dust Emission in Western Deserts – More or less in the Future – Abstract – Presentation
Dr. Rich Reynolds, Research Geologist,
Earth Surface Dynamics Program, USGS, Denver
Great Basin Desert – Climate Change – Abstract – Presentation
Dr. Stan Smith,
Professor of Biological Sciences,
University of Nevada, Las Vegas
Climate Change and the Sonoran Desert – Abstract – Presentation
Dr. Travis Huxman, Professor of Physiological and Ecosystem Ecology,
University of Arizona, Tucson |
11:45 – 12:00 |
Q&A with Morning Speakers |
12:00 – 12:10 |
Moderator’s Synthesis |
12:10 – 1:10pm |
Lunch |
1:10 – 1:30pm |
Challenges for Future Water Management in the Southwest – Abstract – Presentation
Implications of changing demographics and land use patterns in desert areas, increasing water and energy demands, and challenges for resource managers.
Dr. Stan Leake – Research Hydrologist,
USGS Arizona Water Science Center, Tucson |
1:30 – 1:50 |
Panel Discussion – Human Uses/Impacts, Mgmt & Policy Implications
Development by Design: Blending Landscape Level Planning with the Mitigation Hierarchy – Abstract – Presentation
Dr. Joe Kiesecker – Energy by Design Program, The Nature Conservancy |
1:50– 2:10 |
Climate Change and Urban Form in the West – Abstract – Presentation
Dr. Rebecca Carter – Growth Policy Program, Sonoran Institute |
2:10 – 2:40 |
Springs and Groundwater Monitoring and Modeling of Recent and
Long-term Climate Change – Abstract – Presentation
Dr. Abe Springer – Professor of Hydrogeology,
Northern Arizona University, Flagstaff |
2:40 – 2:50 |
Q&A with Afternoon Speakers |
2:50 – 3:00 |
Moderator’s Synthesis |
3:00 – 3:10 |
Break |
3:10 – 4:45pm |
WorldCafé: Adapting to Climate Change – Abstract – a creative process for a conversation leading to collaborative dialogue, sharing knowledge and creating possibilities for action.
Dr. Gregg Garfin (Lead Moderator) – Program Manager/Investigator,
Institute for the Study of Planet Earth, University of Arizona |
4:45 – 5:15pm |
Discussion and Day’s Wrap-up |
6:00 – 7:30pm |
Poster Session – Hors d’ouerves and no-host bar – Abstract |
Thursday April 10: |
|
8:00 – 8:15am |
Welcome/Housekeeping |
8:15 – 8:50am |
Nonnative Plants, Regional Climate Change and Emerging Desert Fire
Regimes – Abstract – Presentation
Dr. Guy McPherson – Professor of Conservation Biology, School of
Natural Resources, University of Arizona, Tucson |
8:50 – 9:00 |
Moderator Transition to Panel Presentation – Wildlife Issues |
9:00 – 9:20am |
Wildlife Connectivity: we’ve been telling you for twenty years that we don’t
have enough time to gather the data – Abstract – Presentation
Dr. Tom Scott – Professor of Conservation Biology, University of California, Riverside |
9:20 – 9:40am |
Managing Landscape Linkages to Conserve Desert Wildlife during an Era of Climate Change – Abstract – Presentation
Dr. Wayne Spencer – Senior Conservation Biologist, Conservation Biology Institute, and Science Advisor, South Coast Wildlands
|
| 9:40 – 10:00am |
Q&A with Morning Speakers |
10:00 – 10:10 |
Moderator’s Synthesis |
10:10 – 10:30am |
Break |
10:30 – 10:35am |
Moderator Transition – Models and Management Session |
10:35 – 11:05 |
Modeling Approaches for Predicting Climate Change Impacts on Natural
Systems: From Inputs to Algorithms to Outputs and What They Can Tell
Us – Abstract – Presentation
Dr. Kirsten Ironside – GIS Coordinator, Merriam-Powell Center for Environmental Research, Northern Arizona University |
11:05 –11:25 |
Modeling and Natural Resources: Science and the Resource Management
Agencies: – Abstract – Presentation Further implications for using models to guide management of
desert ecosystems under a changing climate.
Dr. Debra Hughson– Science Advisor, Mojave National Preserve, National Park Service |
11:25 –11:55 |
A State and Transition Model for Creosotebush and White Bursage – Abstract – Presentation – Presentation on current status of the use and development of State and Transition models in Western deserts.
Dr. Todd Esque – Ecologist,
Western Ecological Research Center, USGS, Henderson |
11:55 – 12:20 |
Finding and Using Climate Change Science Data and Information: A Toolbox for Resource Managers: – Abstract – Presentation Presentation demonstrating online resources of climate and other natural resources related models ready for resource managers to use, including the Forecast Evaluation Tool.
Dr. Michael Crimmins – Climate Extension Specialist, University of Arizona, Tucson |
12:20 – 1:15pm |
Lunch |
1:15 – 1:45 |
Climate Change and Desert Mgmt: Game of States and Transitions – Presentation – Michael Crimmins, UA
– Introduction to breakout activities to use state and transition models to illustrate and consider ecological interactions between climate variability/change and desert resources management. |
1:45 – 3:00 |
Team Table Exercises
Climate Scenarios and State & Transition Game Playing |
3:00 – 3:30 |
Team Scenario Presentations/Summary |
3:30 – 4:00 |
Workshop Wrap-up/Evaluations |
4:00 |
End Day/Workshop |
Friday April 11: |
NPS Mojave National Preserve: Changing Climate and Fire Regimes Tour
Download Overview |
7:30 – 8:10am |
Carpool/Sack Lunches |
8:10 – 10:00am |
In route to Kelso, CA |
10:00 – 10:15am |
Welcome from Park Superintendent |
10:15 – 10:30am |
Visitor's Center/Rest Break |
10:30 – 11:00am |
Reconfigure carpool into high-clearance vehicles/Travel |
11:00 – 11:45am |
Cedar Canyon Road/Cima Dome
Hackberry Fire - FMO Chuck Heard
Joshua Tree Community & Fire Impacts - Dr. Todd
Esque |
12:00 – 1:30pm |
Lunch at Mid Hills Campground
Rare Plants & Management Challenges - Dr. Jim
Andre |
1:30 – 2:30pm |
Wild Horse Canyon
Repeat Photo Points & Fire Impacts - Dr. Robert
Fulton |
2:30 – 5:00pm |
Return to Laughlin/Continue home from Kelso |